Showing posts with label Singapore Investing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Singapore Investing. Show all posts

Wednesday, 18 October 2017

Things I Learnt At My New Place of Employment

Since August, I had actually switched career from Transportation/Logistics industry to the Finance industry. Though it is more of a middle-to-back office function, there were many things I learnt in office which I am starting to apply in my own portfolio tracking (not stock picks!)

1) Benchmarking


In my company where institutional funds are being managed, there must be a way to tell the client we are performing better, and that is where benchmark comes into play. When buying into a fund/equity, the benchmark has already been decided. In my case where I buy mainly local equities, STI Index will naturally be what I will compare against - you will hope that you will perform better, if not you are better off buying STI ETF. However, if you buy into US equities or HK equities, additional benchmarks have to be brought in to compare against. 

With this benchmarking process, it has definitely brought another extra level of stress to the investing journey. Back in the earlier days, a gain is a gain and I will be happy. Now, even if it is a gain, "did I perform better than STI Index?", "am I losing STI Index at the portfolio level?". 

Despite this, I can commit to a higher level of investing picks knowing that there is something I have to beat. That, and also the universe of benchmarks I can refer at work!

2) Asset Allocation


Based on the client's needs, the team will decide what is an appropriate asset allocation of the portfolio. Pension funds? Choose predominantly income funds with little capital risk and stable income so that monthly pension can be distributed. Investment vehicle of company? Avoid income stocks, increase growth drivers, Emerging Markets etc. 

So how can I use this on a personal basis or how can I adapt this into my monthly portfolio tracking? 

Using my monthly records tracing back to 2 years ago, I further calculated what was actually my asset allocation. Being a retail investor there was not much asset classification I could choose from. It will probably be Equities, Cash and Bonds. I could further break my equities into strategy groups as per my example above much it would not make much sense due to my limited capital.


When the chart above was generated, I was actually pleasantly surprised at how consistent the allocation was! My total asset was not stagnant as I had transition from a student to a working adult in this two years of data. I was not tracking the allocation at all. But subconsciously, I was able to move my asset around to achieve that consistent level of allocation. 

When my first salary started, I actively sought stocks to invest in. When I overbought stocks, I try to sell away one other counter to balance my exposure. Somehow along the way, I maintained this average Equities allocation of 44%. 

While I looked like I did not need this asset allocation, what I learnt at my workplace is to have the discipline to set the allocation and follow it, subject to any review. While I am more comfortable at the current allocation between Equities and Cash, I know I should either 1) Increase allocation to Equities or 2) Move some cash and diversity into Bonds. This is because as a young adult, I should be taking on high risk given my long investment horizon. Either of these two methods will make my cash work harder and I will be taking some action soon. 

3) Tracking Portfolio Properly

The last thing I learnt from office was probably how to properly track my portfolio. This is primarily because I learnt the different classification types that the investment team uses, and slowly adopt it to mine! 

Some difficulties I faced before was to include or exclude:
  • CPF
  • A sum of money that someone owes me, and 
  • Cash value of my insurance policy
In my old tracking, I included the last two assets accounts but not CPF, as part of my Total Assets. In addition, I lump all the monies into a single number as displayed below. 


Now that I have some sort of structure to my asset classification, I wanted to retain the use of the Cash and Equities composites in my Total Assets record. After a few days of side thoughts while working, I decided to classify the 3 pointers above as Illiquid Assets, in addition to the Cash and Equities asset class. The below chart was the last change I did to my net worth tracking. 


With this I am able to visualize how each of these asset types makes up my Total Assets while being able to monitor the total asset growth. For myself, it is very interesting to see how my CPF begins to balloon in size after I entered the workforce. 

Another unsettling observation I can draw from this is that CPF is a growing component of my Total Assets. In theory, CPF should contribute 17% + 20% of my basic salary. My take home salary should be 83% of basic salary. A quick conclusion will be that I am spending a lot such that CPF grows relative to my liquid assets! (On hindsight, it might be the $5,000 NSmen incentive).

In this post, I shared what are some of the lessons I brought home from work. As my tenure grows, I foresee I will try out more features which I taught will be useful. It is exciting and fulfilling to have enjoy what I do at work and I hope this feeling will be here to stay. As Dow continues to march towards 23,000, let's put on our critical hat and start to fear when everyone is greedy.

Sunday, 1 January 2017

2016 Investing Report Card

Year 2016 Closes, Results and Returns

2016 closes and with SGXcafe calculating returns on a daily basis, I knew what was coming before the year ended. Disappointingly, my portfolio underperformed STI ETF returns this year - the first time since 5 years of investment. With the negative losses last year, it was quite disappointing to have not grown my investment this year as well.

2016 Portfolio XIRR: -2.215%
STI ETF XIRR: 2.864%

Fun Facts

For now, let's lighten up the mood for some infographic about my portfolio movement this year:


Dividends Goals

With regards to $1000 the dividend goal I had set for 2016, you can see that I have narrowly missed it with $954.25. This partly due to Singpost's tightening dividend policy as well as Falcon Energy not yielding any dividend this year.

For 2017, I hope to increase my dividend received to the tune of $1100. Building up a portfolio that can gives me a steady income stream is one of my retirement goals for the long long term, and I hope that I am able to slowly accomplish this goal.

To increase the dividend, one way is to focus on purchasing stocks that are dividend-yielding and have the cash flow to support it. Monthly investment in STI ETF with my siblings will also contribute in a minor way, probably to cover the shortfalls from the dividend cut by Singpost.

Going Forward

Despite these two years of negative returns, I aim to keep the course. But it has certainly made me re-assess the way I look at gains. A problem is me not realizing profits only to watch it slip away and never coming back. One part of me always wants to be noble and be a "long-term investor". The other part is Graham's and Buffet's mantra of only buying companies where you will never give it up. Falcon Energy has been a bummer and I hope it proves itself in 2017.

For further pickings, I have a few stocks in my mind for research and considerations. Working gives me an steady income to invest but it takes time away from research and homework. But I hope to stay the course and just keep moving ---- towards financial freedom!


Tuesday, 28 July 2015

Me & My Money (Mock Interview)

Me & My Money has always been one of my favourite section of Sunday Times Invest for a long while, perhaps even before I started investing. Recently, Sunday Times had been interviewing some youths about their investing journeys. I sure hope I have a chance to be interviewed for that column, but without any outstanding positions in investment-related CCAs, I doubt I'll have the chance. So, in this little heaven of mine, let's do a buaypaiseh mock session of Me & MyMoney!

Courtesy shot of Me!
While many NSFs were sleeping in bunks or surfing the web during their downtime, the Unabashed Writer (UW) here was busy reading on investing books like The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham or Winning the Loser's Game by Charles D. Ellis. It was a habit picked up from one of his platoon mate who was constantly being ridiculed by others for being a bookworm.

UW recalled, "My platoon mates were always asking if the books he was reading were even useful and said it was a waste of time. After realising that if I chose to read investing books, I might be picking up useful skills and be productive in the 2 years of army."

Looking back, the years in army did actually give him a headstart in the world of investment. Picking up his first stock in 2011, he rode the bull run that came after the Lehman Brothers collapse and the European sovereign debt crisis. For the first three years of his investment journey, he managed to achieve a compounded annual growth rate of 9.25%, beating out inflation and bank interest rates.

After the years of investing, he increasingly realised that investing or personal finance are skills that everyone should have some knowledge of.

UW, who studies Chemical Engineering at National University of Singapore laments, "After almost 4 years of investing, I realise not many of my friends know the value of it. They see it as gambling or think it is risky. Many of my female friends who are working do not even save regularly. This is where I think personal finance comes into play. Know that inflation eats your money away when you deposit them into banks. The only way to beat inflation is to put a comfortable level of cash into higher-yielding assets like stocks or bonds. I always direct my friends to my anonymous blog in order to gain some insights on investing."

The avid investor proposes that personal finance courses should be introduced at university level. SGX can be roped in to conduct these courses and at the same time, reap rewards such as increased investor participation rate in the local stock market.

Asked about his end goal of investing, UW replied, "At the end of the day, I hope to amass a portfolio of stocks that generates sufficient passive income for me to be financially independent. That does not mean I will retire. It just means I will have less stress about job security or just simply means I have the luxury to decide what I want to do for a living. It has always been my secret ambition to sell takoyaki at shopping mall."


Q Moneywise, what were your growing-up years like?
A I am a middle child born to two hawker parents. My parents were hardworking and consequently, I never had a moment where I could not get what I needed. I also learnt the value of money from young as I helped out at my parents' stall since Primary 3, starting with cashiering and counting of money at the end of the day. I got desensitised to big sums of money early as the cash at the end of the day was in thousands. (low end, in case you are thinking I'm rich)

Every cent counts!
My grandma taught me to save. Excess pocket money, angbao money and Edusave scholarships were all saved up in my POSB bankbook without question. Besides all these, my grandma also had the foresight to "force" my parents to cough up $100 every month and deposit it into my bank account. Every drop of water makes an ocean. By the time my grandma let me have free rein of my finances (which is around my army period), she had already helped me accumulate almost $20k in the account.

Q How did you get interested in investing?
A I knew the existence of the stock market when I was in primary school. Back then I thought it was this magical place that would send cheques to my mother and we will have a good treat after that. Sometimes my mother will call me and my siblings to use Teletext and read stock prices to her.

I only formally got interested in investing during NS days where I decided to pick up useful skills during downtime. Investing books were the only books I picked up because I wanted to know how investing actually works; what was Buy, Sell and Vol. It turned out that investing was an universe of its own and trading was only a small part of it. I was particularly intrigued by the concept of compounding interest and also of passive income.

Q Describe your investing strategy.
A My investing strategy follows what Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffet advocated. Seek out fundamentally stable companies that is undervalued and whose prices provide a sufficient margin of safety ie. low enough such that downside is limited. In a long run, the true value will be recognised by the market. As such, I believe in an insufficient market that holds hidden gems, and their values will be realised in the long run.

To find these undervalued stocks, I regularly use the stock screener in Google Finance. In the stock screener, there are many criteria that can be used to filter stocks that are to your liking. Personally, I require the company to pay out dividend, P/B less than 1, P/E less than 20 and positive 10 year EPS growth rate. After that, I will individually assess the companies to see why is it undervalued despite the attractive financial metrics. Sometimes it might be because they recorded one-off gains, but were stuck in unfavourable market conditions. Many a times, it was because the companies are in unpopular industries like local chemical or construction industries.

When I first started using this method in 2013, I found hidden gems like Straco and Nordic. Increasingly, it is hard to find these companies anymore as they becomes fully valued in a bull market.

Q What do you invest in?
A I mainly hold Singapore equities because one needs to be familiar with the business before buying a stake in the company. I usually hold mid-cap stocks for affordability in contrast to blue chips and avoids penny stocks because of their speculative nature.

I had invested in foreign companies that I was confident in. They were few in numbers such that I can list them here from memory. They were Bank of America, Apple Inc and Bank of Ireland. Forex adds to the risk of buying stocks thus I generally avoids foreign stocks.

Q What does money mean to you?
A Many says money cannot buy happiness but I think it is the precursor to happiness. You can make your money work for you and generate passive income through stock dividends, bond interests etc. Up to a critical mass of passive income, you will have enough money to further your pursuit of happiness.

Q What's the most extravagant thing you have done?
A It was the exchange program I did recently, where I travel to Sweden to study for a semester. Since I was at Europe, I took the opportunity to travel to most parts of the continent. In the 6 months period, I spent a total of $20k. It was a worthy trade for the experience as there will never be any chance to travel for such an extended period of time once I start working.

Viewing Northern Lights in Iceland
Besides the travel experience, I had also learnt many soft skills during the exchange. One of the most notable skill I picked up was crisis management. This came after I went through many unfortunate incidents including theft, card phishing and flight cancellation. Each time I managed to handle them with quick judgement and allowed me to recover my loss as much as possible. For theft, I recovered half of my loss through insurance. For card phishing, I managed to block the transaction by contacting the seller directly after getting information from the bank. In the case of the flight cancellation, I managed to turn the crisis into fortune by claiming substantial insurance even though we did not lose out much in terms of accommodations or itinerary changes.

I am very fortunate to be given the chance and study in a foreign country. Despite the extravagance, I feel that it was very justified for the cost and the experience is something I will hold dear for the rest of my life.

Q What is one of your biggest regrets when it comes to investing
A One of my biggest, biggest regret was not picking it up earlier to guide my mother. My mother uses the stock market to feed her gambling habits. As she does not follow economic news, her trading were as good as throwing darts blindfolded. It did not help that her broker was giving her recommendations based on volumes and "insider news".

I vaguely remembered my mother requiring a "bailout" of $100k from my father because of the CLOB saga. Adding salt to wound, her mood fluctuated according to the stock market. My relatives would always joke about how they can tell the market was up or down based on her mood.

Recently I took a copy of her SGX statement and calculated her date-to-current gain/loss. With a portfolio approximately $200k two months ago, she had already incurred a loss of $68k. She also did not keep track of the buy price which made tracking of gain/loss difficult.

All these investing atrocities were happening since I was in Primary School. One can imagine how much she had lost over the years. One can imagine how much life will be easier for her if she invested prudently. This is the result why I regret not picking up investing earlier. Currently, I am trying to convince her to hand over the remaining portfolio for me to handle. However, I am facing resistance as she hopes the stocks will recover to their former glories. It is really saddening how she works long hours at the hawker centre only to flush the money down the drain that is the stock market.

Best and Worst Bets
Q What has been your biggest investing mistake?
A In all truthfulness, it was actually "lending" money to my friend. By "lending", it actually giving money to my friend in promise of decent returns, 5-7%. According to him, it was to used to buy into some gold trading scheme. I had asked for reports or documentation about his investment but he repeatedly played on the word, "trust". He even said he will guarantee my investment with his day job pay.

Regrettably, payment started getting delayed and eventually stopped coming in. The promise of guaranteed returns with his salary turned out to be false. He would say to give him more time but it has been 6 months since last payment. In total, this friend owes me $4600, an amount neither large nor small. I would definitely hope the money will be returned one day, never mind the interest. However, I see this sum of money as payment for a valuable lesson learnt. Never trust anyone with your money, not even close friends or relatives. At the end of the day, it is their well-being they are concerned about, not yours. If you are well-versed in personal finance, you do not need to rely on others to manage your money.

Q And what has been your best investment move?
A My best investment was buying Singpost at $0.98 on March 2012. At $1.92, it represents a 95.3% over three years. It had also gave out $890 of dividend since purchase. (22% of my buy-in) At my purchase price, Singpost gives out 7% dividend yield with the recent hike of dividend to 7 cents a year.

I went to my first AGM for Singpost and its CEO, Wolfgang Baier presented himself excellently and shown leadership on the future prospect of Singpost. I will be holding this stock for a very long time and hope for better years to come.