Showing posts with label sia engineering. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sia engineering. Show all posts

Thursday, 25 June 2015

My Stock Holdings (June)

June has been a busy period for me as I was busy packing stuff to go back to Singapore. It seemed that this month has been a volatile month due to the effect of Greece flirtation with the possibility of default.

ST Eng's price was pushed to a low of 3.24 before recovering recently to above 3.3, which is my average buy-in price. Many people in forums have expressed the opinions that ST Eng is richly valued in terms of P/E and P/B. I had see that the valuations are rich but dividend yield remains good. Given time, perhaps I'll see whether its dividend policy is sustainable and whether cash holdings is decreasing. 

Singpost also recovered its price dip to above 1.90. This can be attributed to annual dividends increasing to 7c from 6.25c previously. Also, it divested some of its traditional business for a profit and that might also had lead to price increase. There's some points I'd like to read up on Singpost given time and they are listed as follows: 
  • Sustainability of dividend
  • Debt obligations and dividends against earnings
  • P/E and P/B valuations (Benjamin Graham had advocated sale of share when it reaches overvaluation state. Therefore, I want to see if Singpost is grossly overvalued and warrant a sale. It is unlikely though, as I regard Singpost as my crown jewel. I know falling in love with stock is no good..)
  • Review growth of earnings (can be quite hard as Singpost recently changed its accounting practice)
Lastly, HPH Trust has been slowly dipping through the month of June while Bank of Ireland closed pretty high at the end of June amidst signs of Greece coming out of the talks with a solution. 


There was no dividend issued for the month of June. Hence, dividend received remains at $278.25


**Edit: Chart removed because I set it to update with latest information -- not accurate info

Wednesday, 13 May 2015

My Stock Holdings (May)

Many companies are reporting their financial results this month and this lead to some price fluctuations. In my portfolio, all had reported their results with the exception of Bank of Ireland. As of now, I have no intention to sell any stock in my holding based on the results. Hence barely any change in the composition of my holding.

Also, I'm scouting for good stock to add to the portfolio and will buy in when I return to Singapore from my exchange.

One of my criteria for buying a stock is that it must give out dividend. Singpost, ST Eng and HPH Trust gives out dividend in my portfolio. Bank of Ireland is an exception as I recognise that it is a high growth stock and does not necessarily need to give out dividend.

As of May 2015, I received a total dividend of $278.25

**Edit 1: Revised dividend amount to a lower value as I accidentally calculated dividends I haven't receive.

**Edit 2: Chart removed because I set it to update with latest information -- not accurate info

Sunday, 7 December 2014

ST Engineering (S63.SI)

Amidst the recent drop in oil prices, there are gems to be found. Some are oil-related stocks like Keppel Corp which may or may not have been oversold compared to crude oil price. Others, like ST Engineering (S63.SI) are dragged down by the pessimistic market. Upon some search on how oil price affects the business of ST Eng, I found this statement in the company's 2009 annual report:

"Oil prices have been on the uptrend since the beginning of the year and was around US$70 at year’s close. High oil prices would have a negative impact on the Group’s customers in the Aerospace sector, and this may in turn impact the Group’s performance. However, such an environment of high costs could present opportunities for third-party MRO providers like ST Aerospace, as airlines outsource more MRO work in an effort to contain costs." 

Although a report in 2009 is too outdated for my liking, I will conclude that oil price does not affect the company negatively at the very least. Due to its slump in stock price, the dividend yield had been bumped up to 4.7% from 4+% previously. Attractive, in my opinion.

However, as fate would have it, I chanced upon an article which highlighted the hidden risk of dividend stocks. In the article, SIA Engineering was cited as an example where high dividend payout did not mean that it was a good buy. This was due to its unsustainable dividend policy where dividends regularly exceeds its earnings. The shortfall between earnings and the dividends have to been patched up using its cash pile.

Following what the article did, I went to compile a list of ST Eng's financial and dividend history as below.
Financial Stats
Year EPS (cents) NAV (cents) Dividends (cents) Payout Ratio
2004 12.26 47 12.39 101.06%
2005 13.64 51.2 13.6 99.71%
2006 15.15 53.1 15.11 99.74%
2007 16.95 54.7 16.88 99.59%
2008 15.82 52.7 15.8 99.87%
2009 14.78 52.09 13.28 89.85%
2010 16.21 53.38 14.55 89.76%
2011 17.28 57.79 15.5 89.70%
2012 18.76 61.51 16.8 89.55%
2013 18.73 68.14 15 80.09%

The Earnings Per Share has been increasing steadily throughout the years with a slight bump in the wake of 2008 Financial Crisis. Dividends had been steady since 10 years ago. With decreasing payout ratio, it seemed that ST Eng had been prudent with its cash pile. This also implies that ST Eng does not need to dip into its cash reserves in order to maintain same dividend payout even if EPS drops. ie Sustainable Dividend Policy
Having bought half a lot of ST Engineering at $3.37, I would seek to complete my other half of the lot by waiting at $3.24. ST Engineering is a very solid company as I see it as a company that is effectively backed by SAF. During NSF days, almost all the vehicles were serviced or modified by ST Kinetics, a subsidiary of ST Engineering. Following Warren Buffet's advice, I would still see ST Engineering existing 50 years down the road and thus bought the stock amidst some market turmoil.